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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Interitusloss 1:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Omega Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Interitus

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
H1j4ck · 5 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Rayuur · 4 games
50%
Bane
Bane
DFlash · 3 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
FCR · 3 games
67%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
DFlash · 3 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Amin · 3 games
67%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
FCR · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
DFlash · 2 games
50%

Omega Gaming

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Demon · 4 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Demon · 4 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
CHAAANNN · 3 games
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
ShakaLord · 3 games
67%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Lissex · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CHAAANNN · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Lissex · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
416 picks · 298 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
389 picks · 568 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
315 picks · 174 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
315 picks · 736 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
314 picks · 370 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
246 picks · 431 bans
57%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
237 picks · 333 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
234 picks · 324 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 44%
Hero pool strength50% Omega Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Omega Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:39
Interitus 48%Omega Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 34:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerFCR
59% · 69 games47% · 72 games
Drow RangerMingatte
Drow Ranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRayuur
54% · 152 games48% · 434 games
MarsLissex
Mars
Tidehunter
TidehunterH1j4ck
55% · 219 games41% · 30 games
DawnbreakerCHAAANNN
Dawnbreaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkAmin
43% · 125 games45% · 158 games
RubickDemon
Rubick
Bane
BaneDFlash
60% · 129 games
Game 2prediction missed29:27
Interitus 49%Omega Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Interitus in 46:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingFCR
60% · 67 games49% · 120 games
KunkkaMingatte
Kunkka
Lina
LinaRayuur
60% · 72 games46% · 70 games
Legion CommanderLissex
Legion Commander
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerH1j4ck
54% · 28 games34% · 35 games
DawnbreakerCHAAANNN
Dawnbreaker
Weaver
WeaverAmin
56% · 77 games37% · 32 games
Skywrath MageDemon
Skywrath Mage
Jakiro
JakiroDFlash
45% · 13 games
Game 3prediction correct29:45
Interitus 50%Omega Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Omega Gaming — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 38:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaRayuur
64% · 131 game46% · 91 game
GyrocopterMingatte
Gyrocopter
Magnus
MagnusFCR
55% · 58 games44% · 179 games
TidehunterLissex
Tidehunter
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerH1j4ck
57% · 49 games31% · 30 games
DawnbreakerCHAAANNN
Dawnbreaker
Weaver
WeaverAmin
58% · 86 games41% · 32 games
Skywrath MageDemon
Skywrath Mage
Jakiro
JakiroDFlash
37% · 8 games
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Gaming · 57%
Series resultOmega Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3