Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Interitusloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Our Waywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Interitus
Centaur Warrunner
H1j4ck · 5 games
Rubick
Amin · 3 games
Bane
DFlash · 2 games
Jakiro
DFlash · 2 games
Lunaoften banned
FCR · 2 games
Marsoften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Rayuur · 2 games
Sniperoften banned
FCR · 2 games
Our Way
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
373 picks · 272 bans
Mars
369 picks · 533 bans
Snapfire
312 picks · 194 bans
Weaver
304 picks · 715 bans
Queen of Pain
264 picks · 336 bans
Ember Spirit
239 picks · 308 bans
Disruptor
231 picks · 155 bans
Io
226 picks · 580 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Interitus
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Our Way
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:26
Interitus 46%Our Way 54%
The model gave 54% on Our Way — the game was taken by Our Way in 30:18.
Game 2prediction correct12:21
Interitus 46%Our Way 54%
The model gave 54% on Our Way — the game was taken by Our Way in 32:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteOur Way · 54%
Series resultOur Way 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2