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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hydrawin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Mars
Marsoften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Era · 8 games
63%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 7 games
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Xibbe · 7 games
71%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Charlie · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 6 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Bor@nija · 6 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 5 games
80%

Hydra

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 23 games
52%
Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 21 game
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 20 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 19 games
84%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 17 games
65%
Chen
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
514 picks · 366 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
462 picks · 661 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
402 picks · 852 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
399 picks · 501 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
311 picks · 522 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
302 picks · 477 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 352 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Into The Breach 28%Hydra 72%
The model gave 72% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 72%
Series resultHydra 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1