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Positive Fire Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachloss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
V-Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Rubick
Rubick
Era · 2 games
100%
Tiny
Tiny
Supream^ · 2 games
100%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Era · 1 game
0%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Chessie · 1 game
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Charlie · 1 game
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Era · 1 game
100%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Chessie · 1 game
100%

V-Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
laise · 7 games
57%
Lion
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 6 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
ArrOw · 4 games
25%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
100%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Malady · 3 games
33%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dodren · 3 games
100%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
436 picks · 984 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
418 picks · 576 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
365 picks · 707 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
348 picks · 594 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
308 picks · 305 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
300 picks · 190 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
299 picks · 271 bans
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
266 picks · 411 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 55%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed