Positive Fire Games · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Rubick
Era · 2 games
Tiny
Supream^ · 2 games
Earth Spirit
Era · 1 game
Elder Titan
Chessie · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Charlie · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Era · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Chessie · 1 game
V-Gaming
Marsoften banned
laise · 7 games
Lionsignature
ArrOw · 6 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
Rubick
ArrOw · 4 games
Alchemistoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Oracleoften banned
Malady · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Dodren · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
436 picks · 984 bans
Void Spirit
418 picks · 576 bans
Death Prophet
365 picks · 707 bans
Mars
348 picks · 594 bans
Earth Spirit
308 picks · 305 bans
Tusk
300 picks · 190 bans
Grimstroke
299 picks · 271 bans
Phoenix
266 picks · 411 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 55%
Series resultV-Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed