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1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 15 games
80%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ari · 13 games
77%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Supream^ · 11 games
82%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 10 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Otaker · 10 games
70%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Supream^ · 10 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 9 games
56%

YNT

Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 8 games
25%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
726 picks · 566 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
514 picks · 1026 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
474 picks · 625 bans
45%
Marci
Marci
437 picks · 779 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
367 picks · 410 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
342 picks · 163 bans
49%
Zeus
Zeus
326 picks · 379 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
310 picks · 595 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 57%
Hero pool strength62% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:13
Into The Breach 64%YNT 36%
The model gave 64% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 32:43.
Game 2prediction correct37:18
Into The Breach 64%YNT 36%
The model gave 64% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 29:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 64%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2