Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs predictionIWInvaders Worldwin 2:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FGFracasados Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invaders World
No games played over 6 months.
Fracasados Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
557 picks · 373 bans
Queen of Pain
486 picks · 584 bans
Mars
452 picks · 613 bans
Weaver
427 picks · 773 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 180 bans
Kunkka
355 picks · 550 bans
Spirit Breaker
347 picks · 576 bans
Wraith King
288 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Invaders World
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Invaders World
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvaders World · 51%
Series resultInvaders World 2:0
Series predictioncorrect