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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Aster.Ariesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Aster.Aries

Phoenix
Phoenix
RedPanda · 9 games
33%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
White丶Album · 7 games
71%
Tusk
Tusk
White丶Album · 7 games
14%
Tiny
Tiny
TK · 6 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
RedPanda · 6 games
33%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Ulu · 6 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
White丶Album · 5 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
White丶Album · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
799 picks · 563 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
575 picks · 399 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
522 picks · 558 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
513 picks · 414 bans
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
463 picks · 749 bans
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
420 picks · 854 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
419 picks · 299 bans
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
364 picks · 273 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total56% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:17
Invictus Gaming 56%Aster.Aries 44%
The model gave 56% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Aster.Aries in 37:20.
Game 2prediction missed8:26
Invictus Gaming 56%Aster.Aries 44%
The model gave 56% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Aster.Aries in 28:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 56%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2