ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CCCassell Collegeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Cassell College
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
217 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
185 picks · 195 bans
Pangolier
183 picks · 389 bans
Dark Willow
182 picks · 76 bans
Earthshaker
169 picks · 168 bans
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
Earth Spirit
154 picks · 249 bans
Phoenix
154 picks · 207 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:12
Invictus Gaming 88%Cassell College 12%
The model gave 88% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Cassell College in 38:08.
Game 2prediction missed13:27
Invictus Gaming 88%Cassell College 12%
The model gave 88% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Cassell College in 24:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 88%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2