Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelion Esport Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
445 picks · 266 bans
Queen of Pain
376 picks · 497 bans
Mars
366 picks · 507 bans
Weaver
352 picks · 484 bans
Kunkka
282 picks · 491 bans
Death Prophet
274 picks · 420 bans
Grimstroke
262 picks · 179 bans
Ember Spirit
256 picks · 300 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:29
Invictus Gaming 61%Dandelion Esport Club 39%
The model gave 61% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 1:13:08.
Game 2prediction missed46:14
Invictus Gaming 61%Dandelion Esport Club 39%
The model gave 61% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 37:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 61%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2