i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Elephantloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
405 picks · 997 bans
Mars
355 picks · 570 bans
Void Spirit
341 picks · 524 bans
Grimstroke
337 picks · 352 bans
Lion
330 picks · 178 bans
Death Prophet
323 picks · 699 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 222 bans
Earth Spirit
262 picks · 277 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total62% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:36
Invictus Gaming 62%Elephant 38%
The model gave 62% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Elephant in 42:03.
Game 2prediction missed29:13
Invictus Gaming 62%Elephant 38%
The model gave 62% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Elephant in 27:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 62%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2