?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
iG Vitalityloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

iG Vitality

Io
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 9 games
56%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
14%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Dogf1ghts · 7 games
14%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 6 games
33%
Bane
Bane
QYQX · 5 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QYQX · 5 games
20%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
20%
Razor
Razoroften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
439 picks · 277 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
395 picks · 502 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
357 picks · 511 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
344 picks · 490 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
286 picks · 474 bans
51%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
252 picks · 470 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
249 picks · 337 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
241 picks · 324 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:24
Invictus Gaming 77%iG Vitality 23%
The model gave 77% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 22:18.
Game 2prediction missed22:36
Invictus Gaming 77%iG Vitality 23%
The model gave 77% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 43:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 77%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2