The International 10 (2021) · BO2
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 1:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
OG
Hoodwink
Topson · 13 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
n0tail · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
Saksa · 9 games
Magnusoften banned
Ceb · 9 games
Tinyoften banned
Topson · 9 games
Dark Willowsignature
Saksa · 8 games
Elder Titan
n0tail · 8 games
Lionsignature
Saksa · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
298 picks · 179 bans
Mars
288 picks · 397 bans
Lina
276 picks · 554 bans
Pangolier
259 picks · 372 bans
Shadow Demon
248 picks · 256 bans
Hoodwink
243 picks · 88 bans
Tidehunter
238 picks · 400 bans
Void Spirit
221 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% OG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:31
Invictus Gaming 52%OG 48%
The model gave 52% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by OG in 41:23.
Game 2prediction missed9:38
Invictus Gaming 52%OG 48%
The model gave 52% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by OG in 33:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2