Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Sparking Arrow Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Sparking Arrow Gaming
Snapfire
Son GoKu · 8 games
Disruptorsignature
XCJ · 7 games
Miranasignature
Son GoKu · 6 games
Razorsignature
MS · 6 games
Bane
XCJ · 5 games
Hoodwink
XCJ · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Dstones · 5 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
XCJ · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
440 picks · 268 bans
Mars
410 picks · 547 bans
Tiny
359 picks · 417 bans
Death Prophet
338 picks · 685 bans
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Sand King
298 picks · 391 bans
Weaver
273 picks · 325 bans
Templar Assassin
258 picks · 550 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Sparking Arrow Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total76% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 76%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect