DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Zerowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Zero
Clockwerk
zzq · 15 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
7e · 14 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
BEYOND · 12 games
Windrangersignature
poyoyo · 12 games
Kunkkaoften banned
BEYOND · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
BEYOND · 11 games
Miranasignature
poyoyo · 10 games
Rubicksignature
Ponlo · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
350 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 279 bans
Pangolier
327 picks · 454 bans
Rubick
317 picks · 312 bans
Hoodwink
313 picks · 364 bans
Windranger
306 picks · 426 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 515 bans
Dragon Knight
298 picks · 477 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Team Zero
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total51% Team Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:34
Invictus Gaming 49%Team Zero 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 48:31.
Game 2prediction correct32:7
Invictus Gaming 49%Team Zero 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 30:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zero · 51%
Series resultTeam Zero 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2