ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Thunder Awakenloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Thunder Awaken
Phoenixsignature
Mjz · 11 games
Pangoliersignature
Frank · 10 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
Earth Spiritsignature
MoOz · 9 games
Oraclesignature
Mjz · 8 games
Pucksignature
Leostyle · 8 games
Wraith Kingsignature
Mnz · 7 games
Death Prophetsignature
Leostyle · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
456 picks · 1011 bans
Void Spirit
426 picks · 613 bans
Mars
372 picks · 658 bans
Death Prophet
345 picks · 650 bans
Earth Spirit
335 picks · 289 bans
Phoenix
272 picks · 386 bans
Monkey King
266 picks · 841 bans
Rubick
264 picks · 178 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 67%
Hero pool strength65% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:19
Invictus Gaming 36%Thunder Awaken 64%
The model gave 64% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 27:56.
Game 2prediction correct5:31
Invictus Gaming 36%Thunder Awaken 64%
The model gave 64% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 27:17.
Game 3prediction correct11:28
Invictus Gaming 36%Thunder Awaken 64%
The model gave 64% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 35:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 64%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3