Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Disruptorsignature
Dy · 18 games
Tidehunteroften banned
ELeVeN · 18 games
Dragon Knight
ELeVeN · 17 games
Weaveroften banned
Pyw · 17 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 16 games
Pangolier
Yds · 15 games
Lion
Pyw · 12 games
Earthshaker
ELeVeN · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
419 picks · 303 bans
Mars
395 picks · 573 bans
Queen of Pain
320 picks · 375 bans
Weaver
319 picks · 737 bans
Snapfire
316 picks · 177 bans
Kunkka
249 picks · 436 bans
Spirit Breaker
239 picks · 341 bans
Disruptor
234 picks · 162 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head6 – 5
Model total60% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:35
Invictus Gaming 60%Vici Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 47:59.
Game 2prediction missed28:18
Invictus Gaming 60%Vici Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 50:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 60%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2