Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ybb Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
458 picks · 630 bans
Bane
440 picks · 268 bans
Tiny
440 picks · 431 bans
Sand King
409 picks · 559 bans
Storm Spirit
396 picks · 623 bans
Dragon Knight
386 picks · 469 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 545 bans
Keeper of the Light
328 picks · 641 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Invictus Gaming 64%Ybb Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Invictus Gaming 64%Ybb Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 64%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2