Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
IRLD2win 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EEEmpyrean Esportloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IRLD2
No games played over 6 months.
Empyrean Esport
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
377 picks · 346 bans
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 322 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 501 bans
Mars
305 picks · 430 bans
Techies
286 picks · 210 bans
Hoodwink
281 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
275 picks · 420 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% IRLD2
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% IRLD2
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
IRLD2 62%Empyrean Esport 38%
The model gave 62% on IRLD2 — the game was taken by Empyrean Esport.
Game 2prediction correct
IRLD2 62%Empyrean Esport 38%
The model gave 62% on IRLD2 — the game was taken by IRLD2.
Game 3prediction correct
IRLD2 62%Empyrean Esport 38%
The model gave 62% on IRLD2 — the game was taken by IRLD2.
Model check result
Model favoriteIRLD2 · 62%
Series resultIRLD2 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3