FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivorywin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Groomifyloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ivory
Earth Spiritoften banned
Ken · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 3 games
Invokeroften banned
Ken · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Dric~ · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Groomify
Bane
Teehee · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
491 picks · 675 bans
Clockwerk
418 picks · 484 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 525 bans
Dark Willow
351 picks · 181 bans
Luna
343 picks · 454 bans
Enchantress
305 picks · 597 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 477 bans
Batrider
302 picks · 319 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Ivory
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Ivory
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:21
Ivory 70%Groomify 30%
The model gave 70% on Ivory — the game was taken by Ivory in 39:54.
Game 2prediction correct35:10
Ivory 70%Groomify 30%
The model gave 70% on Ivory — the game was taken by Ivory in 26:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteIvory · 70%
Series resultIvory 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2