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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivorywin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 5 games
20%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Dric~ · 4 games
25%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Rupido · 4 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ken · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 4 games
25%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Rupido · 3 games
33%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
0%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
33%

InterActive Philippines

Lina
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
507 picks · 584 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 442 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
466 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
363 picks · 735 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
331 picks · 513 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
328 picks · 756 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
318 picks · 277 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:16
Ivory 52%InterActive Philippines 48%
The model gave 52% on Ivory — the game was taken by Ivory in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritKen
38% · 9 games42% · 81 game
KunkkaNishababy
Kunkka
Underlord
UnderlordRupido
63% · 23 games
Ringmaster
RingmasterDric~
64% · 49 games
Game 2prediction correct35:10
Ivory 51%InterActive Philippines 49%
The model gave 51% on Ivory — the game was taken by Ivory in 27:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Batrider
BatriderKen
42% · 79 games55% · 177 games
Monkey KingNishababy
Monkey King
Kunkka
KunkkaRupido
47% · 26 games
Muerta
MuertaDric~
45% · 72 games
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 50%
Series resultIvory 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2