BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Ivorywin 1:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:0
KKukuysV3loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ivory
Gyrocopteroften banned
Dric~ · 10 games
Jakirooften banned
Teehee · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 8 games
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 7 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Rupido · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 6 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 6 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ken · 5 games
KukuysV3
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
674 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 426 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
416 picks · 1132 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 684 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% KukuysV3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% KukuysV3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Ivory 43%KukuysV3 57%
The model gave 57% on KukuysV3 — the game was taken by Ivory.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuysV3 · 57%
Series resultIvory 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1