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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivorywin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Rupido · 4 games
25%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Ken · 4 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 4 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ken · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Dric~ · 3 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dric~ · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
0%

Myth Avenue Gaming

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Bob · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Bombi · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
Bombi · 1 game
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
MangO · 1 game
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Bob · 1 game
0%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 659 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
440 picks · 511 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
378 picks · 556 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
367 picks · 189 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
341 picks · 374 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
323 picks · 429 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
319 picks · 245 bans
50%
Invoker
Invoker
317 picks · 881 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Ivory
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:25
Ivory 47%Myth Avenue Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Ivory in 37:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Brewmaster
BrewmasterRupido
56% · 52 games41% · 37 games
Queen of PainBob
Queen of Pain
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritKen
50% · 111 games45% · 167 games
Timbersawxiaoyu154
Timbersaw
Rubick
RubickDric~
53% · 179 games54% · 138 games
LionBombi
Lion
Game 2prediction missed31:16
Ivory 46%Myth Avenue Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Ivory in 26:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerKen
46% · 89 games48% · 100 games
Doomxiaoyu154
Doom
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerRupido
40% · 72 games57% · 100 games
Templar AssassinBob
Templar Assassin
Lion
LionDric~
55% · 158 games55% · 119 games
MuertaBombi
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 55%
Series resultIvory 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2