?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam IX. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivoryloss 1:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Boredwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 6 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 5 games
60%
Luna
Luna
Karma丶 · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ken · 5 games
20%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Rupido · 5 games
20%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Rupido · 5 games
20%
Bane
Baneoften banned
Teehee · 4 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 4 games
25%

Team Bored

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 317 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 500 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 385 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
314 picks · 432 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 622 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
289 picks · 106 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
282 picks · 117 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Team Bored
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Team Bored
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Ivory 28%Team Bored 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Bored — the game was taken by Ivory.
Game 2prediction correct34:38
Ivory 28%Team Bored 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Bored — the game was taken by Team Bored in 56:57.
Game 3prediction correct11:39
Ivory 28%Team Bored 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Bored — the game was taken by Team Bored in 41:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bored · 72%
Series resultTeam Bored 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3