BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivoryloss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TPTrailer Park Boyswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ivory
Gyrocopteroften banned
Dric~ · 5 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ken · 5 games
Disruptor
Teehee · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 4 games
Bane
Teehee · 3 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Ken · 3 games
Jakirooften banned
Teehee · 3 games
Trailer Park Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
611 picks · 619 bans
Snapfire
531 picks · 209 bans
Dragon Knight
521 picks · 701 bans
Tusk
517 picks · 323 bans
Hoodwink
470 picks · 235 bans
Centaur Warrunner
450 picks · 536 bans
Mars
409 picks · 564 bans
Pangolier
390 picks · 577 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Trailer Park Boys
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total63% Trailer Park Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ivory 37%Trailer Park Boys 63%
The model gave 63% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Trailer Park Boys.
Game 2prediction missed
Ivory 37%Trailer Park Boys 63%
The model gave 63% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Ivory.
Game 3prediction correct
Ivory 37%Trailer Park Boys 63%
The model gave 63% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Trailer Park Boys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTrailer Park Boys · 63%
Series resultTrailer Park Boys 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3