Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Mind Gameswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IVY
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 9 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
jAMES · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 4 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
Copy · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Copy · 4 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
503 picks · 357 bans
Mars
450 picks · 655 bans
Weaver
389 picks · 839 bans
Queen of Pain
387 picks · 485 bans
Snapfire
373 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
300 picks · 509 bans
Spirit Breaker
289 picks · 459 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 36%
Hero pool strength53% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Mind Games
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:24
IVY 45%Mind Games 55%
The model gave 55% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Mind Games in 29:28.
Game 2prediction correct9:23
IVY 45%Mind Games 55%
The model gave 55% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Mind Games in 30:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteMind Games · 55%
Series resultMind Games 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2