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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYwin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Tiny
Tiny
Mo13ei · 19 games
58%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 11 games
45%
Bane
Bane
jmn- · 10 games
30%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Max · 10 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 9 games
44%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
jmn- · 9 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Max · 8 games
50%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Lowskill · 8 games
63%

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
577 picks · 463 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
431 picks · 663 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
405 picks · 528 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
388 picks · 854 bans
56%
Bane
Bane
384 picks · 261 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 632 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 163 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
330 picks · 553 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% IVY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
IVY 49%Rune Eaters 51%
The model gave 51% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by IVY.
Game 2prediction missed
IVY 49%Rune Eaters 51%
The model gave 51% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by IVY.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 51%
Series resultIVY 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2