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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYwin 2:1
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Empire Hopeloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mo13ei · 28 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 12 games
58%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 12 games
75%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 11 games
55%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Max · 11 games
36%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Mo13ei · 11 games
82%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
jmn- · 10 games
60%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Lowskill · 10 games
70%

Team Empire Hope

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
699 picks · 508 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
502 picks · 986 bans
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
416 picks · 528 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
388 picks · 705 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
379 picks · 196 bans
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
329 picks · 324 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
301 picks · 317 bans
46%
Razor
Razor
290 picks · 599 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% IVY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% IVY
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:9
IVY 59%Team Empire Hope 41%
The model gave 59% on IVY — the game was taken by IVY in 32:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackLowskill
54% · 34 games51% · 153 games
Razorkrylat
Razor
Viper
ViperMax
44% · 72 games57% · 81 game
EnigmaMastery
Enigma
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMo13ei
40% · 114 games48% · 127 games
Winter Wyvernantoha
Winter Wyvern
Chen
Chenjmn-
58% · 54 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQupe
46% · 87 games
Game 2prediction missed12:30
IVY 62%Team Empire Hope 38%
The model gave 62% on IVY — the game was taken by Team Empire Hope in 31:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckMo13ei
50% · 142 games41% · 43 games
Pudgekrylat
Pudge
Bristleback
BristlebackLowskill
60% · 34 games52% · 165 games
BeastmasterMastery
Beastmaster
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidMax
51% · 35 games50% · 199 games
Ioantoha
Io
Phoenix
PhoenixQupe
52% · 42 games
Snapfire
Snapfirejmn-
45% · 154 games
Game 3prediction correct34:13
IVY 59%Team Empire Hope 41%
The model gave 59% on IVY — the game was taken by IVY in 29:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinLowskill
51% · 48 games49% · 115 games
Juggernautkrylat
Juggernaut
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMo13ei
49% · 51 game52% · 157 games
BatriderMastery
Batrider
Timbersaw
TimbersawMax
38% · 65 games64% · 96 games
Chenantoha
Chen
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernjmn-
44% · 66 games
Tiny
TinyQupe
45% · 138 games
Model check result
Model favoriteIVY · 68%
Series resultIVY 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3