IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
Израильloss 0:1series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Польшаwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Израиль
No games played over 6 months.
Польша
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
391 picks · 730 bans
Hoodwink
341 picks · 285 bans
Rubick
335 picks · 221 bans
Weaver
334 picks · 651 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
313 picks · 377 bans
Pangolier
302 picks · 534 bans
Dark Willow
291 picks · 345 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% Израиль
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Польша
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Израиль 14%Польша 86%
The model gave 86% on Польша — the game was taken by Польша.
Model check result
Model favoriteПольша · 86%
Series resultПольша 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1