ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionJAJackky and friendswin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDirebornloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jackky and friends
Tusk
Q · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Jabz · 3 games
Phoenix
Oli · 3 games
Axeoften banned
Jabz · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
JaCkky · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
Emo · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Jabz · 1 game
Direborn
Ancient Apparition
Juju · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
woMy · 3 games
Clockwerk
db- · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Cije · 3 games
Pugna
db- · 3 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Cije · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
woMy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
532 picks · 770 bans
Tusk
494 picks · 344 bans
Dragon Knight
463 picks · 638 bans
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 549 bans
Shadow Demon
378 picks · 660 bans
Gyrocopter
353 picks · 562 bans
Mars
339 picks · 461 bans
Hoodwink
328 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Jackky and friends
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Jackky and friends
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:3
Jackky and friends 75%Direborn 25%
The model gave 75% on Jackky and friends — the game was taken by Jackky and friends in 26:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonJaCkky
Anti-MageCije
Storm SpiritEmo
UnderlordwoMy
KunkkaJabz
Liondb-
WindrangerQ
Crystal MaidenJuju
DazzleOli
Game 2prediction correct30:4
Jackky and friends 74%Direborn 26%
The model gave 74% on Jackky and friends — the game was taken by Jackky and friends in 20:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaJaCkky
SlarkCije
Storm SpiritEmo
DoomwoMy
Centaur WarrunnerJabz
Marcidb-
WindrangerQ
Ancient ApparitionJuju
UndyingOli
Model check result
Model favoriteJackky and friends · 90%
Series resultJackky and friends 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2