CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Jigglinwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jigglin
Batridersignature
Lelis · 8 games
Tusksignature
Se · 8 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Copy · 7 games
Muerta
Lelis · 6 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Se · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 5 games
Razoroften banned
423 · 5 games
Magnusoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 4 games
9Pandas
Tinysignature
erase · 20 games
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 19 games
Lionsignature
lupsione · 17 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 17 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 14 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 12 games
Dark Willow
jesv · 12 games
Muerta
jesv · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
481 picks · 418 bans
Phoenix
457 picks · 553 bans
Batrider
446 picks · 559 bans
Clockwerk
438 picks · 550 bans
Lion
420 picks · 232 bans
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 787 bans
Tiny
410 picks · 443 bans
Magnus
396 picks · 832 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Jigglin
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:14
Jigglin 49%9Pandas 51%
The model gave 51% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Jigglin in 44:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Earth SpiritCopy
LunaV-Tune
Morphling423
Tinyerase
EnigmaMinD_ContRoL
Night Stalkerlaise
ChenSe
Lionlupsione
ClockwerkLelis
Elder TitanSolo
Game 2prediction missed23:19
Jigglin 46%9Pandas 54%
The model gave 54% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Jigglin in 38:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling423
LunaV-Tune
PangolierCopy
Tinyerase
EnigmaMinD_ContRoL
Night Stalkerlaise
EnchantressSe
Elder TitanSolo
ClockwerkLelis
Lionlupsione
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 50%
Series resultJigglin 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2