ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Jigglinwin 1:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jigglin
Batrideroften banned
Lelis · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 3 games
Magnusoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 3 games
Muerta
Lelis · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Se · 2 games
Hoodwink
Lelis · 2 games
Team Hryvnia
Lunaoften banned
paw · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
453 picks · 370 bans
Clockwerk
421 picks · 542 bans
Batrider
374 picks · 474 bans
Lion
369 picks · 193 bans
Gyrocopter
360 picks · 579 bans
Phoenix
356 picks · 394 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 585 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 848 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 29%
Hero pool strength54% Jigglin
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total82% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Jigglin 82%Team Hryvnia 18%
The model gave 82% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin.
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 82%
Series resultJigglin 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1