RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
JustBetterloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
JustBetter
Crystal Maiden
SsaSpartan · 3 games
Doomoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
Hoodwink
Astral · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
Focus · 3 games
Vengeful Spirit
SsaSpartan · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
SsaSpartan · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SkyLark · 2 games
Dark Willow
Astral · 2 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
385 picks · 355 bans
Centaur Warrunner
350 picks · 552 bans
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 337 bans
Mars
336 picks · 507 bans
Techies
323 picks · 254 bans
Batrider
312 picks · 610 bans
Hoodwink
308 picks · 184 bans
Pangolier
293 picks · 457 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 36%
Hero pool strength52% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:29
JustBetter 47%Dandelions 53%
The model gave 53% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 29:56.
Game 2prediction correct14:37
JustBetter 47%Dandelions 53%
The model gave 53% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions in 35:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 53%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2