?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
JustBetterwin 1:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Level UPloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

JustBetter

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 7 games
43%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Astral · 6 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 6 games
17%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SkyLark · 5 games
40%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SsaSpartan · 4 games
25%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 4 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Astral · 4 games
25%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Focus · 4 games
25%

Level UP

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dEsire · 13 games
46%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Bor@nija · 8 games
25%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 8 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 7 games
43%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 7 games
43%
Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 7 games
29%
Tusk
Tusk
dEsire · 7 games
43%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Taiga · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
466 picks · 221 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 639 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
394 picks · 698 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
394 picks · 562 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
367 picks · 158 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 930 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% Level UP
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% JustBetter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:23
JustBetter 60%Level UP 40%
The model gave 60% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter in 40:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteJustBetter · 60%
Series resultJustBetter 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1