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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIloss 0:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
HFwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 19 games
79%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 12 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 11 games
64%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Hellscream · 10 games
70%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
67%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 9 games
89%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 14 games
71%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 13 games
77%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 11 games
45%
Bane
Bane
Malady · 8 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 8 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 7 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
ArrOw · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
477 picks · 663 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
465 picks · 488 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
455 picks · 278 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
430 picks · 580 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
382 picks · 453 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
380 picks · 638 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 563 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
347 picks · 811 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 60%HF 40%
The model gave 60% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by HF.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 60%
Series resultHF 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1