Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Канадаwin 2:1series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Кубаloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Канада
No games played over 6 months.
Куба
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
627 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
430 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
417 picks · 476 bans
Tiny
400 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 382 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 494 bans
Puck
320 picks · 967 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Канада
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Канада
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Канада 71%Куба 29%
The model gave 71% on Канада — the game was taken by Канада.
Game 2prediction missed
Канада 71%Куба 29%
The model gave 71% on Канада — the game was taken by Куба.
Game 3prediction correct
Канада 71%Куба 29%
The model gave 71% on Канада — the game was taken by Канада.
Model check result
Model favoriteКанада · 71%
Series resultКанада 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3