Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры 2024. Мировой финал · BO3
result vs prediction
Казахстанloss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Сербияwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Казахстан
No games played over 6 months.
Сербия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
347 picks · 307 bans
Pangolier
344 picks · 471 bans
Tusk
335 picks · 458 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
Enchantress
315 picks · 584 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 458 bans
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
Luna
262 picks · 327 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)83% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% Казахстан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Казахстан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Казахстан 62%Сербия 38%
The model gave 62% on Казахстан — the game was taken by Казахстан.
Game 2prediction missed
Казахстан 62%Сербия 38%
The model gave 62% on Казахстан — the game was taken by Сербия.
Game 3prediction missed
Казахстан 62%Сербия 38%
The model gave 62% on Казахстан — the game was taken by Сербия.
Model check result
Model favoriteКазахстан · 62%
Series resultСербия 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3