Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
KBU.USloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KBU.US
No games played over 6 months.
PSG Quest
Snapfiresignature
OmaR · 12 games
Earth Spiritsignature
OmaR · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 11 games
Pucksignature
No!ob · 11 games
Shadow Shamansignature
OmaR · 10 games
Hoodwink
OmaR · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 7 games
Iosignature
Eixn · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
503 picks · 438 bans
Mars
475 picks · 698 bans
Bane
438 picks · 296 bans
Dragon Knight
436 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
376 picks · 601 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 602 bans
Sand King
350 picks · 513 bans
Keeper of the Light
341 picks · 765 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% PSG Quest
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% KBU.US
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:41
KBU.US 60%PSG Quest 40%
The model gave 60% on KBU.US — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 28:23.
Game 2prediction missed64:31
KBU.US 60%PSG Quest 40%
The model gave 60% on KBU.US — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 37:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteKBU.US · 60%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2