Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
kefteme.mp3win 1:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Bald Dynastyloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
kefteme.mp3
No games played over 6 months.
Bald Dynasty
Anti-Mageoften banned
selfhate · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
ряф^^ · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
ряф^^ · 1 game
Phantom Lanceroften banned
selfhate · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
ряф^^ · 1 game
Spectreoften banned
selfhate · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
740 picks · 610 bans
Disruptor
551 picks · 478 bans
Beastmaster
424 picks · 1024 bans
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 977 bans
Tiny
398 picks · 375 bans
Doom
397 picks · 657 bans
Undying
393 picks · 607 bans
Mirana
379 picks · 205 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% kefteme.mp3
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% kefteme.mp3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
kefteme.mp3 60%Bald Dynasty 40%
The model gave 60% on kefteme.mp3 — the game was taken by kefteme.mp3.
Model check result
Model favoritekefteme.mp3 · 60%
Series resultkefteme.mp3 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1