Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Южная Америка 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
King Of Kingswin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inverseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Inverse
Grimstroke
Slaw · 7 games
Elder Titan
Slaw · 2 games
Gyrocopter
DM · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Migi · 2 games
Necrophosoften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
DM · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Slaw · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
Migi · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
435 picks · 978 bans
Void Spirit
406 picks · 565 bans
Death Prophet
366 picks · 706 bans
Mars
345 picks · 585 bans
Grimstroke
309 picks · 296 bans
Earth Spirit
306 picks · 299 bans
Tusk
297 picks · 206 bans
Lion
256 picks · 139 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% King Of Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% King Of Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:28
King Of Kings 67%Inverse 33%
The model gave 67% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by Inverse in 36:24.
Game 2prediction missed14:34
King Of Kings 67%Inverse 33%
The model gave 67% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by Inverse in 21:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteKing Of Kings · 67%
Series resultKing Of Kings 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2