Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Китайwin 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Гонконгloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Китай
No games played over 6 months.
Гонконг
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
743 picks · 593 bans
Disruptor
610 picks · 529 bans
Doom
553 picks · 1098 bans
Beastmaster
551 picks · 1308 bans
Techies
488 picks · 549 bans
Pangolier
468 picks · 951 bans
Ember Spirit
461 picks · 1132 bans
Enchantress
452 picks · 643 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Китай
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Китай
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Китай 68%Гонконг 32%
The model gave 68% on Китай — the game was taken by Китай.
Game 2prediction correct
Китай 68%Гонконг 32%
The model gave 68% on Китай — the game was taken by Китай.
Model check result
Model favoriteКитай · 68%
Series resultКитай 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2