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DreamLeague Season 22. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 2:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SIBE Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Klim Sani4

No games played over 6 months.

SIBE Team

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 12 games
83%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
emptiness · 12 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
erase · 10 games
70%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Rein · 9 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
256 picks · 425 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
247 picks · 379 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
245 picks · 339 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
216 picks · 204 bans
46%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 285 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
199 picks · 506 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
196 picks · 98 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
179 picks · 322 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% SIBE Team
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total66% Klim Sani4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:33
Klim Sani4 66%SIBE Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 46:09.
Game 2prediction missed21:37
Klim Sani4 66%SIBE Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 46:29.
Game 3prediction missed27:9
Klim Sani4 66%SIBE Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 26:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteKlim Sani4 · 66%
Series resultKlim Sani4 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3