Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx — prediction EPL Masters II · Dota 2

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EPL Masters II · BO3

result vs prediction

Klim Sani4win 2:0

series probability

68%32%

probability at match start · final 2:0

Team Lynxloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Klim Sani4

No games played over 6 months.

Team Lynx

Dark Willow

QBFY · 29 games

55%

Phoenixsignature

kreker · 26 games

62%

Underlordoften banned

VladikTheHtiviy · 24 games

54%

Hoodwink

QBFY · 23 games

52%

Rubick

QBFY · 23 games

57%

Pangolieroften banned

VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games

45%

Techies

kreker · 19 games

32%

Tidehunteroften banned

VladikTheHtiviy · 17 games

41%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

484 picks · 334 bans

49%

Bane

351 picks · 454 bans

55%

Clockwerk

338 picks · 534 bans

52%

Ember Spirit

321 picks · 489 bans

57%

Shadow Fiend

316 picks · 644 bans

53%

Tiny

285 picks · 320 bans

48%

Windranger

278 picks · 206 bans

47%

Snapfire

267 picks · 433 bans

49%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 35%

Hero pool strength51% Team Lynx

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total68% Klim Sani4

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct24:22

Klim Sani4 60%Team Lynx 40%

The model gave 60% on Klim Sani4 — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 44:07.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo