Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
KOBOLDSloss 0:1series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Salvation Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KOBOLDS
No games played over 6 months.
Salvation Gaming
Gyrocopter
YoungGodLevi · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
LOyd · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 3 games
Lion
Dric~ · 3 games
Rubick
Dric~ · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
465 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 637 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
393 picks · 699 bans
Centaur Warrunner
392 picks · 562 bans
Rubick
366 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 759 bans
Shadow Demon
328 picks · 929 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% KOBOLDS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Salvation Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
KOBOLDS 36%Salvation Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Salvation Gaming — the game was taken by Salvation Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteSalvation Gaming · 64%
Series resultSalvation Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1