ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionKGKobravex Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CJcompLexity Jr.loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kobravex Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
compLexity Jr.
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 528 bans
Clockwerk
371 picks · 361 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 437 bans
Luna
311 picks · 362 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 561 bans
Dark Willow
273 picks · 144 bans
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 339 bans
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 946 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Kobravex Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% compLexity Jr.
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:14
Kobravex Gaming 38%compLexity Jr. 62%
The model gave 62% on compLexity Jr. — the game was taken by Kobravex Gaming in 29:04.
Model check result
Model favoritecompLexity Jr. · 62%
Series resultKobravex Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1