The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kopiteloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tech Free Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kopite
Oracleoften banned
Bombi · 2 games
Puckoften banned
GaN- · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Bombi · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Grimstroke
Bombi · 1 game
Huskaroften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Tech Free Gaming
Dragon Knightoften banned
TraVins · 12 games
Shadow Shamanoften banned
dalul · 9 games
Pangoliersignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
TraVins · 7 games
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 6 games
Razor
TraVins · 6 games
Silencer
Varizh · 6 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Varizh · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
562 picks · 619 bans
Ringmaster
481 picks · 241 bans
Jakiro
459 picks · 431 bans
Terrorblade
392 picks · 823 bans
Storm Spirit
363 picks · 548 bans
Ancient Apparition
358 picks · 819 bans
Tusk
357 picks · 321 bans
Shadow Shaman
354 picks · 410 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Tech Free Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:49
Kopite 50%Tech Free Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Tech Free Gaming — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 48:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritGaN-
RazorTraVins
ClockwerkBombi
KunkkaMamangDaya
48% · 256 games
Pangolierdb-
48% · 160 games
Dark Willowdalul
56% · 8 games
Witch DoctorVarizh
Game 2prediction correct19:56
Kopite 44%Tech Free Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Tech Free Gaming — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of PainGaN-
SniperMamangDaya
Ancient ApparitionBombi
RazorTraVins
50% · 86 games
Pangolierdb-
43% · 93 games
Tuskdalul
67% · 32 games
Crystal MaidenVarizh
Model check result
Model favoriteTech Free Gaming · 56%
Series resultTech Free Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2