The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionKKoshkoDevkiloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
B8 Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KoshkoDevki
No games played over 6 months.
B8 Esports
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 13 games
Crystal Maiden
Mary_y · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Gyrocopter
CTOMAHEH1 · 11 games
Bane
Mary_y · 10 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
Dazzleoften banned
Dendi · 10 games
Lion
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
455 picks · 732 bans
Centaur Warrunner
434 picks · 629 bans
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 405 bans
Batrider
405 picks · 760 bans
Rubick
389 picks · 164 bans
Dragon Knight
358 picks · 1040 bans
Pangolier
357 picks · 746 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 32%
Hero pool strength57% KoshkoDevki
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% B8 Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:37
KoshkoDevki 37%B8 Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 30:15.
Game 2prediction correct
KoshkoDevki 37%B8 Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by B8 Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Esports · 63%
Series resultB8 Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2