Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionKKuCyJIbKuloss 0:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TTheOwlswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KuCyJIbKu
Abaddonoften banned
Sh4dowehhh · 1 game
Clockwerk
Sh4dowehhh · 1 game
Dark Willow
XBOCT · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
ALWAYSWANNAFLY · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Iceberg · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Iceberg · 1 game
Spirit Breakeroften banned
ALWAYSWANNAFLY · 1 game
Weaveroften banned
XBOCT · 1 game
TheOwls
Batrideroften banned
GGwpLanaya · 1 game
Disruptor
Hduo · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Shergarat · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
271 picks · 403 bans
Tidehunter
266 picks · 393 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 639 bans
Bane
243 picks · 180 bans
Weaver
222 picks · 418 bans
Lina
219 picks · 476 bans
Lion
211 picks · 109 bans
Void Spirit
207 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% KuCyJIbKu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% TheOwls
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTheOwls · 58%
Series resultTheOwls 0:1
Series predictioncorrect