BLAST Slam V. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Kukuyswin 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MZManila Zooloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kukuys
Ancient Apparition
Gabbi · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Force · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 2 games
Alchemist
Natsumi · 1 game
Bristleback
Natsumi · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 1 game
Disruptor
Gabbi · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Yowe · 1 game
Manila Zoo
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
471 picks · 242 bans
Disruptor
463 picks · 447 bans
Puck
355 picks · 953 bans
Pugna
322 picks · 367 bans
Warlock
304 picks · 147 bans
Earthshaker
289 picks · 469 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
Batrider
287 picks · 635 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Manila Zoo
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:31
Kukuys 85%Manila Zoo 15%
The model gave 85% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 51:40.
Game 2prediction correct
Kukuys 85%Manila Zoo 15%
The model gave 85% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 85%
Series resultKukuys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2