The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kukuyswin 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Solo Levelingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kukuys
Earthshaker
Armel · 6 games
Clockwerk
Jing · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
Earth Spirit
Yowe · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Gabbi · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Armel · 3 games
Solo Leveling
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 459 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 536 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
Terrorblade
336 picks · 599 bans
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 418 bans
Ancient Apparition
288 picks · 620 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 195 bans
Windranger
270 picks · 77 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Solo Leveling
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:17
Kukuys 76%Solo Leveling 24%
The model gave 76% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Solo Leveling in 42:00.
Game 2prediction correct31:13
Kukuys 76%Solo Leveling 24%
The model gave 76% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 41:52.
Game 3prediction correct28:12
Kukuys 76%Solo Leveling 24%
The model gave 76% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 38:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 76%
Series resultKukuys 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3