DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionKKupalloss 0:1
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Nimisterwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kupal
No games played over 6 months.
Team Nimister
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 690 bans
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
Muerta
415 picks · 305 bans
Clockwerk
408 picks · 398 bans
Bristleback
371 picks · 849 bans
Magnus
370 picks · 976 bans
Phantom Assassin
366 picks · 614 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Kupal
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Team Nimister
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Kupal 32%Team Nimister 68%
The model gave 68% on Team Nimister — the game was taken by Team Nimister.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nimister · 68%
Series resultTeam Nimister 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1